Given the high support for abortion rights ballot initiatives in states like Missouri, not sure "the democrats picked issues that failed to resonate" re abortion makes sense. I'd have to think through the different reasons for that, but on the surface it appears that they could have leaned into that more, but done it differently - not sure how.
Interesting, thanks. Not sure there was a way through to success for the Democrats there, but maybe. I wonder if it was as simple as voters wanting and getting both things: The Republican candidates they wanted and the abortion rights.
Yes, that is what I have said earlier, that people are voting for Trump / Republicans but also voting for abortion rights.
That is a different issue than what you raised, about what people want in terms of how abortion rights are dealt with. Someone voting for abortion rights at the state level doesn't mean they want abortion rights settled at the state level. It does mean they had an opportunity to settle it at the state level and took it.
Jeremiah Johnson, who writes the blog “infinite scroll” had a very good post this week similar to your point number 5 about how people over the age of 40 just don’t understand how to reach voters now. “The online is more real than real life” for most people now. As depressing as that fact is, it’s what worked for Trump.
I agree with much of this Corey, but I’m not convinced that “woke” is a caricature of much progressive politics or mainstream media. Here in Alberta, for example, the left has hand-waved away the lack of evidence for gender-affirming medical care for minors in favour of castigating any attempt at discourse on the issue as “anti-trans.” This podcast actually provides an evidence-based discussion on the issue (https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/on-point-podcast/id121534955?i=1000654951527)
This is just an example of several issues where the left loses contact with reality, and classical liberal principles, due to the heavy influence of critical social justice. This is not a caricature of progressivism unfortunately.
This is excellent. I almost forgive you for getting my hopes up on the podcast.
I might add electoral process to the list. First past the post forces parties to include more extreme elements in order to win.
Using rank-choice voting at every level of our government, I think, would drastically reduce polarization.
Given the high support for abortion rights ballot initiatives in states like Missouri, not sure "the democrats picked issues that failed to resonate" re abortion makes sense. I'd have to think through the different reasons for that, but on the surface it appears that they could have leaned into that more, but done it differently - not sure how.
High support but apparently low salience - didn't appear to drive decision making. And the Harris campaign spent an incredible amount of money on the message. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/05/democrat-tv-ads-abortion-spending-00187234
Interesting, thanks. Not sure there was a way through to success for the Democrats there, but maybe. I wonder if it was as simple as voters wanting and getting both things: The Republican candidates they wanted and the abortion rights.
God I hate high support low salience issues.
Or is the message that voters want to settle abortion at the State level?
I suspect polling would contradict that supposition.
The polling is clearly wrong. Arizona, for example, voted for Trump and approved an abortion rights initiative: https://ballotpedia.org/Arizona_Proposition_139,_Right_to_Abortion_Initiative_(2024)
Yes, that is what I have said earlier, that people are voting for Trump / Republicans but also voting for abortion rights.
That is a different issue than what you raised, about what people want in terms of how abortion rights are dealt with. Someone voting for abortion rights at the state level doesn't mean they want abortion rights settled at the state level. It does mean they had an opportunity to settle it at the state level and took it.
Jeremiah Johnson, who writes the blog “infinite scroll” had a very good post this week similar to your point number 5 about how people over the age of 40 just don’t understand how to reach voters now. “The online is more real than real life” for most people now. As depressing as that fact is, it’s what worked for Trump.
https://open.substack.com/pub/infinitescroll/p/the-internet-is-more-real-than-real
I agree with much of this Corey, but I’m not convinced that “woke” is a caricature of much progressive politics or mainstream media. Here in Alberta, for example, the left has hand-waved away the lack of evidence for gender-affirming medical care for minors in favour of castigating any attempt at discourse on the issue as “anti-trans.” This podcast actually provides an evidence-based discussion on the issue (https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/on-point-podcast/id121534955?i=1000654951527)
This is just an example of several issues where the left loses contact with reality, and classical liberal principles, due to the heavy influence of critical social justice. This is not a caricature of progressivism unfortunately.